Blogs



Loading...

Sabres Scoring: When?

November 6th, 2009 | by Vance |

Not to say the Sabres have been lighting the lamp like we’ve seen in years past, but hey, they are scoring more than they’re letting in, and in my book, that’s a win.  It just so happens, in the NHL’s book, that’s a win too.   So I thought I’d do a little statistical analysis, try to discern when the Sabres are getting their goals, and how that stacks up against the rest of the league (and no I did not include OT totals, so if the numbers seem off by a few percentage points, there’s your answer).

1st Period

Team 1st Pd. Goals % of Total Total
1 CGY 20 43.5% 46
2 EDM 16 37.2% 43
3 BUF 13 37.1% 35
4 VAN 16 36.4% 44
5 WSH 18 34.0% 53
6 ATL 13 33.3% 39
7 FLA 11 33.3% 33
8 NYR 16 31.4% 51
9 NSH 8 29.6% 27
10 CAR 8 29.6% 27
11 PIT 14 29.2% 48
12 STL 8 27.6% 29
13 DET 11 27.5% 40
14 LAK 14 27.5% 51
15 PHI 12 27.3% 44
16 COL 13 27.1% 48
17 DAL 13 26.0% 50
18 MTL 10 25.0% 40
19 CHI 9 23.7% 38
20 MIN 7 23.3% 30
21 CBJ 10 22.7% 44
22 NJD 7 22.6% 31
23 NYI 8 22.2% 36
24 OTT 8 21.6% 37
25 PHX 8 21.6% 37
26 SJS 11 20.8% 53
27 BOS 6 19.4% 31
28 ANA 6 16.7% 36
29 TOR 5 16.1% 31
30 TBL 5 14.7% 34

2nd Period

Team 2nd Pd % of Total Total
1 SJS 27 50.9% 53
2 PHI 22 50.0% 44
3 CBJ 22 50.0% 44
4 NYI 18 50.0% 36
5 CHI 18 47.4% 38
6 BOS 14 45.2% 31
7 STL 13 44.8% 29
8 ANA 15 41.7% 36
9 PHX 15 40.5% 37
10 MTL 16 40.0% 40
11 MIN 12 40.0% 30
12 COL 19 39.6% 48
13 LAK 20 39.2% 51
14 TBL 13 38.2% 34
15 PIT 18 37.5% 48
16 DET 15 37.5% 40
17 EDM 16 37.2% 43
18 TOR 11 35.5% 31
19 OTT 13 35.1% 37
20 DAL 17 34.0% 50
21 NYR 17 33.3% 51
22 NSH 9 33.3% 27
23 CAR 9 33.3% 27
24 CGY 15 32.6% 46
25 WSH 17 32.1% 53
26 NJD 9 29.0% 31
27 BUF 10 28.6% 35
28 FLA 8 24.2% 33
29 ATL 9 23.1% 39
30 VAN 10 22.7% 44

3rd Period

Team 3rd Pd % of Total Total
1 TOR 15 48.4% 31
2 NJD 15 48.4% 31
3 TBL 15 44.1% 34
4 ATL 17 43.6% 39
5 FLA 14 42.4% 33
6 ANA 15 41.7% 36
7 VAN 18 40.9% 44
8 OTT 15 40.5% 37
9 DAL 19 38.0% 50
10 CAR 10 37.0% 27
11 BOS 11 35.5% 31
12 NYR 18 35.3% 51
13 DET 14 35.0% 40
14 COL 16 33.3% 48
15 PIT 16 33.3% 48
16 NSH 9 33.3% 27
17 PHX 12 32.4% 37
18 WSH 17 32.1% 53
19 BUF 11 31.4% 35
20 LAK 16 31.4% 51
21 MIN 9 30.0% 30
22 SJS 15 28.3% 53
23 STL 8 27.6% 29
24 CHI 10 26.3% 38
25 EDM 11 25.6% 43
26 CBJ 11 25.0% 44
27 NYI 9 25.0% 36
28 MTL 10 25.0% 40
29 CGY 10 21.7% 46
30 PHI 9 20.5% 44

Let’s make some inferences no? Well first off, those rankings still are pretty relative, due to the differences in games played, but, that’s why they’re percentages and not totals. So keep that in mind through this.

So, let’s take a look at those rankings. 3rd highest in the 1st period, 4th worst in the 2nd, and a mediocre 19th in the 3rd.  Well, we’ve always seen the Sabres to be fast starters, they seemingly always come flying out of the gate with a barrage of shots (especially this year) and chances.  With that said, we’ve also seen the Sabres come back earth more times than we’d like, whether due to sitting on a lead or just settling down.  That could help explain the 2nd period numbers.  The 3rd period is interesting, as some teams, like the LA Kings (with 4), are buoyed with empty netters, the Sabres have none.  That said, the Sabres are scoring almost a goal per 3rd period, which based on the record, is obviously icing the game away, which to me, is a plus.

So now let’s take a gander at the totals/percentages; these tell me one thing that these Sabres have been giving a more consistent effort each period than the past couple years.  13. 10. 11.  No outliers, no aberrations, just a consistent effort each period.  Compare that to say, the Maple Leafs; 5. 11. 15.  It’s easy to score 3rd period garbage goals when you’re down 4 and your opponent has already mailed it in.  We should be fortunate we’re not there.  Or even a “successful” team like the Flyers; 12. 22. 9.  Efforts like that aggravate me to no end.

Now that’s what I was able to piece out of those numbers, what other inferences can you all draw out of those numbers?  Let’s hear some ideas.  Look for a feature later this afternoon on the exactly opposite of this; goals against.

VN:F [1.4.6_730]
Rating: 10.0/10 (4 votes cast)
Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • Sphinn
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Mixx
  • Google
  • E-mail this story to a friend!
  • NewsVine
  • Technorati
  • TwitThis

Tags: ,

One Response to “Sabres Scoring: When?”

  1. By Acoustic-Fury on Nov 6, 2009

    Good stuff Vance!

    Scoring that first goal is huge…especially in a defensive minded NHL. Most defensive minded teams (which are most of them nowadays) are waiting on a mistake to be made, capitalize and then go into taking away lanes and trapping.

    I think it’s why the Sabres have been successful. The lull I have noticed during the 2nd period was only a feeling I had until you broke it down like you did.

    By the 3rd period we are usually an insurance goal ahead and is where they shine and I think that is because of the 3rd and 4th line grinders who just lock it down. Having Grier back this year really is the difference.

    VA:F [1.4.6_730]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)

Post a Comment

Spam Protection by WP-SpamFree